Shenzhen · Guangdong · 2026-2030

Shenzhen’s 15th Five-Year Plan

深圳市国民经济和社会发展第十五个五年规划纲要

A global economic-centre strategy that links advanced manufacturing and deep-tech innovation to Hong Kong cooperation, international trade, dense-city renewal, public services and climate resilience.

2030 GDP
>¥5tn
R&D intensity
7%
Services trade
US$240bn
Subsidised homes
200k

The plan in plain English

Growth through technology and opening, under the constraints of a dense megacity

Shenzhen wants to move from a highly successful manufacturing and export city toward a broader global economic centre. The plan keeps industry and innovation at the core, but it also addresses the systems that now determine the city’s competitiveness: Hong Kong links, services and finance, land reuse, mobility, housing, education, healthcare, culture, carbon and extreme-weather resilience.

Official scoreboard

Twenty-two indicators across six parts of city development

Values in the FDI, childcare and housing rows are five-year cumulative targets. GDP, productivity and income growth are average annual rates. Six indicators are binding.

Economic developmentExpected
≈5%

GDP growth

Average annual rate; the narrative target is GDP above ¥5tn by 2030.

Economic developmentExpected
≈5%

Labour-productivity growth

Average annual rate.

Economic developmentExpected
78%

Modern services

Share of service-sector value added; 77% in 2025.

InnovationExpected
7%

R&D intensity

Total R&D expenditure as a share of GDP; 6.67% in 2024.

InnovationExpected
6%

Basic-research share

Share of total R&D expenditure; 4.73% in 2024.

InnovationExpected
150

High-value patents

Valid high-value invention patents per 10,000 people; 119.7 in 2025.

InnovationExpected
45%

Strategic emerging industries

Share of GDP; 43% in 2025.

OpeningExpected
¥300bn

Foreign direct investment

Cumulative actual FDI over 2026-2030; official table: ¥3000 hundred million.

OpeningExpected
¥5tn

Goods trade

Total imports and exports; ¥4.55tn in 2025.

OpeningExpected
US$240bn

Services trade

Total imports and exports of services; US$150.1bn in 2025.

PeopleExpected
≈5%

Disposable-income growth

Average annual per-capita rate.

PeopleBinding
12.8 yrs

Education

Average schooling for the working-age population.

PeopleExpected
85.63 yrs

Life expectancy

84.53 years in 2025.

PeopleExpected
≥11

Top-performing public hospitals

Tertiary public institutions rated A+ or above.

PeopleExpected
+6.5 pp

Childcare enrolment

Cumulative increase in the enrolment rate for children under three.

PeopleExpected
200k

Subsidised housing

Homes or rooms supplied and allocated over five years.

EnvironmentBinding
≤15

PM2.5 concentration

Annual average, micrograms per cubic metre; 16.8 in 2025.

EnvironmentBinding
95%

Good-quality water bodies

Share classified as good; 81.8% in 2025.

EnvironmentBinding
Province-set

Non-fossil energy

Complete the target assigned by Guangdong.

EnvironmentBinding
Province-set

Carbon intensity

Complete the reduction target assigned by Guangdong.

EnvironmentBinding
Province-set

Forest cover

39% in 2025; complete the assigned provincial target.

SafetyBinding
≤0.003

Workplace-fatality rate

Deaths per ¥100m of GDP; 0.0035 in 2025.

Hong Kong, the Bay Area and the world

Six systems connect Shenzhen beyond its municipal boundary

Qianhai

A Shenzhen-Hong Kong platform for cross-border finance, trade, legal, accounting, consulting, shipping and digital services. By 2030, the plan targets ¥320bn in modern-service value added, 15,000 Hong Kong-funded firms and 15,000 Hong Kong residents working there.

Hetao

The Shenzhen park is designed as an international research and pilot-production hub working with the Hong Kong park. Targets include 30 high-level international innovation platforms or facilities and 300 standards produced by international industry and standards organisations.

Cross-border infrastructure

The programme includes the new Huanggang checkpoint, upgrades at Luohu and Shatoujiao, a planned Qianhai checkpoint, study of the Hong Kong-Shenzhen Western Rail Link and trials for low-altitude and automated cross-border mobility.

Greater Bay Area rules

Shenzhen proposes more “Bay Area standards”, wider recognition of professional qualifications, digital-identity pilots and closer alignment in construction, medicine, finance, research management and public services.

Pearl River estuary

The Guangzhou-Shenzhen innovation corridor, Shenzhen metropolitan rail links, the Shenzhen-Zhongshan passage and proposed links toward Zhuhai are used to connect research, manufacturing and logistics on both sides of the estuary.

Global flows

The plan combines a ¥5tn goods-trade target and US$240bn services-trade target with service-sector opening, cross-border data rules, overseas investment services, international arbitration and Belt and Road market development.

Urban and regional geography

Eleven districts and development areas receive distinct roles

Futian

Administrative, cultural, financial-business and international-exchange functions; Xiangmihu New Financial Centre and major international venues.

Luohu

Finance, commerce and international consumption, combined with old-city renewal and the Luohu North railway hub.

Yantian

International shipping and offshore trade, smart low-carbon port infrastructure and stronger port-industry-city integration.

Nanshan

Technology, higher education and global business; a “super waterfront” linking Shenzhen Bay headquarters, Houhai-Shekou and Qianhai-Bao’an.

Bao’an

Western city centre, airport and convention gateway, advanced manufacturing, the Shenzhen-Hong Kong Advanced Manufacturing Park and Marine New City.

Longgang

Eastern service centre, university and innovation resources around Universiade New Town, with links to industry, culture and public space.

Longhua

Central service centre and a proposed world semiconductor technology centre across Longhua Central-Pinghu North.

Pingshan

Eastern industrial innovation centre focused on new-energy vehicles, biomedicine and next-generation information technology.

Guangming

Core area of the Greater Bay Area comprehensive national science centre, with major facilities, universities and laboratories.

Dapeng

World-class coastal ecological tourism destination and marine research base around Longqi Bay.

Shenzhen-Shanwei

A new automotive and industrial city with complete new-energy vehicle chains, electronic chemicals, advanced materials and marine industries.

People and public services

The social infrastructure behind the growth strategy

Families and children

Birth, childcare, tax, housing and employment support are combined with community, kindergarten, workplace and family childcare. Inclusive places should reach 45% of childcare supply by 2030.

Young people and work

A youth housing programme, youth hostels and start-up support sit alongside a target of one million cumulative new urban jobs.

Education

The city plans 100,000 additional public high-school places, more than 50 specialist high schools, 80 high-quality school groups and more than 35 new vocational bachelor programmes.

Health

The target is 85.63 years of life expectancy, health literacy above 55%, 100 clinical key specialties and 30 specialist disease centres. The plan also supports foreign-owned hospital pilots and international medical complexes.

Ageing

Long-term care insurance, home adaptation, community and institutional care are paired with a silver economy using health technology, rehabilitation, AI, robots and brain-computer interfaces. Nursing beds should reach 85% of institutional beds.

Housing

The market-plus-support model includes 200,000 public-rental, subsidised-rental or shared-ownership homes or rooms over five years, with stronger support for new residents, young people and working households.

Everyday access

Public facilities are to follow the permanent population, with a 15-minute basic-public-service circle and wider access through the residence-permit system.

A denser, more resilient city

Six measurable changes to land, neighbourhoods and infrastructure

Land and renewal

Prepare at least 25 km² of inefficient land and release at least 15 km² of industrial land in advanced-manufacturing parks.

Neighbourhoods

Renew more than 150 older urban residential compounds and implement more than 60 urban-village projects through rebuilding, improvement or mixed approaches.

Transit and walking

Extend the metro to 845 km, improve station access and build more than 4,500 km of greenways across mountain, city and coastal networks.

Environmental quality

Keep good-air days above 97%, reduce annual PM2.5 to no more than 15 µg/m³ and raise the share of good-quality water bodies to 95%.

Climate resilience

Upgrade flood, coastal and drainage systems, old water networks and emergency communications; extend effective severe-weather warning lead time to at least 70 minutes.

Digital city

Connect more than 25 million sensing terminals, build unified building and spatial-information platforms, create a trusted urban data space and deliver 150 integrated government-service scenarios.

Industrial portfolio

The 20+8 system is organised by maturity and capability

The outline highlights eighteen named directions within four practical tiers. The labels below are an editorial guide to how the plan deploys them; they are not four official numerical groups.

4 established advantages

  • Next-generation electronic information
  • New-energy vehicles
  • New energy
  • High-end medical devices

5 growth tracks

  • AI terminals
  • Low-altitude economy
  • Embodied intelligent robots
  • Marine economy
  • Commercial space

3 capability gaps

  • Biopharmaceuticals
  • High-performance materials
  • High-end equipment

6 future industries

  • 6G
  • Biomanufacturing
  • Future energy
  • Quantum technology
  • Brain-computer interfaces
  • Cell and gene technologies
>70%

Advanced manufacturing

Share of above-scale industrial value added by 2030.

>60%

High-tech manufacturing

Share of above-scale industrial value added.

>¥2.3tn

Strategic emerging industries

Value added by 2030.

>30k

High-tech enterprises

Nationally recognised firms by 2030.

>2,000

Specialised “little giants”

National-level specialised and innovative SMEs.

>¥800bn

Software and IT services

Sector value added by 2030.

Culture and everyday life

Global influence is also measured in culture, sport and tourism

Culture

New museums, opera and art facilities, a ten-minute culture-service circle and a 2030 target of ¥400bn in cultural and related value added.

Digital creativity

Games, short-form drama, animation, network literature and audiovisual services are positioned for domestic and global markets, alongside design and cultural trade platforms.

Performance

A multi-level venue network and a target of more than 800 concerts with at least 5,000 attendees over 2026-2030.

Sport

More than 3 m² of sports space per person and a ¥150bn sports-industry value-added target, supported by major events and outdoor recreation.

Tourism

A differentiated “east for resorts, west for sightseeing” model, with technology, industry, cruise, yacht and low-altitude products; targets exceed ¥450bn revenue and 300m visits.

Planning and delivery

How the outline is meant to become projects and annual work

One hierarchy

The city development plan leads, territorial spatial planning provides the base, and sector and regional plans must align in targets, space and policy.

Annual translation

Main indicators are incorporated into annual plans, with fiscal budgets and financial resources linked to major tasks and reforms.

Project pipeline

Projects move through implementation, preparation, reserve and concept stages; land, sea area, forest use and financing follow priority projects.

Faster approvals

Parallel approvals, conditional acceptance, regional assessment and AI-assisted investment management are intended to make delivery more predictable.

Monitoring

Major tasks, projects, reforms and indicators receive dynamic monitoring, mid-term evaluation and final evaluation, with legal procedures for adjustments.

Public accountability

Progress is to be published and reviewed through legislative, supervisory and audit systems, with internet channels for public comments and oversight.

Primary sources

Approved outline, official publication and visual explainer

Official plan pageShenzhen Development and Reform Commission

The official planning page publishes the complete outline and its specialist columns.

Read the official plan ↗
Approval and gazetteShenzhen Municipal People’s Congress and Government Gazette

The seventh municipal people’s congress approved the outline on 11 February 2026.

View the approval and gazette text ↗
Official visual explainerShenzhen Development and Reform Commission

A Chinese-language visual guide published on 26 May 2026.

View the official explainer ↗
Chinese source documentComplete approved outline

This English page is an editorial guide. The officially approved Chinese text remains authoritative.

Download the Chinese DOCX ↓